[Federal Register Volume 71, Number 17 (Thursday, January 26, 2006)]
[Notices]
[Pages 4383-4384]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: E6-963]
=======================================================================
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET
Discount Rates for Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Federal
Programs
AGENCY: Office of Management and Budget.
ACTION: Revisions to Appendix C of OMB Circular A-94.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: The Office of Management and Budget revised Circular A-94 in
1992. The revised Circular specified certain discount rates to be
updated annually when the interest rate and inflation assumptions used
to prepare the budget of the United States Government were changed.
These discount rates are found in Appendix C of the revised Circular.
The updated discount rates are shown below. The discount rates in
Appendix C are to be used for cost-effectiveness analysis, including
lease-purchase analysis, as specified in the revised Circular. They do
not apply to regulatory analysis.
DATES: The revised discount rates are effective immediately and will be
in effect through January 2007.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Robert B. Anderson, Office of Economic
Policy, Office of Management and Budget, (202) 395-3381.
James D. Foster,
Associate Director for Economic Policy, Office of Management and
Budget.
Appendix C--Discount Rates for Cost-Effectiveness, Lease Purchase, and
Related Analyses
Revised January 2006.
Effective Dates. This appendix is updated annually around the
time of the President's budget submission to Congress. This version
of the appendix is valid through the end of January 2007. A copy of
the updated appendix can be obtained in electronic form through the
OMB home page at http://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/circulars/a094/
[[Page 4384]]
a94--appx-c.html, the text of the main body of the Circular is found
at http://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/circulars/a094/a094.html, and a
table of past years' rates is located at http://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/circulars/a094/dischist-2006.pdf. Updates of the appendix are
also available upon request from OMB's Office of Economic Policy
(202-395-3381).
Nominal Discount Rates. A forecast of nominal or market interest
rates for 2006 based on the economic assumptions from the 2007
Budget are presented below. These nominal rates are to be used for
discounting nominal flows, which are often encountered in lease-
purchase analysis.
Nominal Interest Rates on Treasury Notes and Bonds of Specified Maturities
[In percent]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
3-year 5-year 7-year 10-year 20-year 30-year
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
4.7 4.8 4.9 5.0 5.3 5.2
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Real Discount Rates. A forecast of real interest rates from
which the inflation premium has been removed and based on the
economic assumptions from the 2007 Budget is presented below. These
real rates are to be used for discounting real (constant-dollar)
flows, as often required in cost-effectiveness analysis.
Real Interest Rates on Treasury Notes and Bonds of Specified Maturities
[In percent]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
3-year 5-year 7-year 10-year 20-year 30-year
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 3.0 3.0
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Analyses of programs with terms different from those presented
above may use a linear interpolation. For example, a four-year
project can be evaluated with a rate equal to the average of the
three-year and five-year rates. Programs with durations longer than
30 years may use the 30-year interest rate.
[FR Doc. E6-963 Filed 1-25-06; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 3110-01-P