[Federal Register: April 10, 2009 (Volume 74, Number 68)]
[Rules and Regulations]
[Page 16321-16326]
From the Federal Register Online via GPO Access [wais.access.gpo.gov]
[DOCID:fr10ap09-1]
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[[Page 16321]]
DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE
Agricultural Marketing Service
7 CFR Part 985
[Doc. No. AMS-FV-08-0104; FV09-985-1 FR]
Marketing Order Regulating the Handling of Spearmint Oil Produced
in the Far West; Salable Quantities and Allotment Percentages for the
2009-2010 Marketing Year
AGENCY: Agricultural Marketing Service, USDA.
ACTION: Final rule.
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SUMMARY: This rule establishes the quantity of spearmint oil produced
in the Far West, by class that handlers may purchase from, or handle
for, producers during the 2009-2010 marketing year, which begins on
June 1, 2009. This establishes salable quantities and allotment
percentages for Class 1 (Scotch) spearmint oil of 842,171 pounds and 42
percent, respectively, and for Class 3 (Native) spearmint oil of
1,196,109 pounds and 53 percent, respectively. The Spearmint Oil
Administrative Committee (Committee), the agency responsible for local
administration of the marketing order for spearmint oil produced in the
Far West, recommended these limitations for the purpose of avoiding
extreme fluctuations in supplies and prices to help maintain stability
in the spearmint oil market.
DATES: Effective Date: This final rule becomes effective June 1, 2009.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Susan M. Coleman, Marketing Specialist
or Gary D. Olson, Regional Manager, Northwest Marketing Field Office,
Marketing Order Administration Branch, Fruit and Vegetable Programs,
AMS, USDA; Telephone: (503) 326-2724; Fax: (503) 326-7440; or E-mail:
Sue.Coleman@ams.usda.gov or GaryD.Olson@ams.usda.gov.
Small businesses may request information on complying with this
regulation by contacting Jay Guerber, Marketing Order Administration
Branch, Fruit and Vegetable Programs, AMS, USDA, 1400 Independence
Avenue, SW., STOP 0237, Washington, DC 20250-0237; Telephone: (202)
720-2491, Fax: (202) 720-8938, or E-mail: Jay.Guerber@ams.usda.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: This final rule is issued under Marketing
Order No. 985 (7 CFR Part 985), as amended, regulating the handling of
spearmint oil produced in the Far West (Washington, Idaho, Oregon, and
designated parts of Nevada and Utah), hereinafter referred to as the
``order.'' This order is effective under the Agricultural Marketing
Agreement Act of 1937, as amended (7 U.S.C. 601-674), hereinafter
referred to as the ``Act.''
The Department of Agriculture (USDA) is issuing this rule in
conformance with Executive Order 12866.
This rule has been reviewed under Executive Order 12988, Civil
Justice Reform. Under the marketing order now in effect, salable
quantities and allotment percentages may be established for classes of
spearmint oil produced in the Far West. This final rule establishes the
quantity of spearmint oil produced in the Far West, by class, which may
be purchased from or handled for producers by handlers during the 2009-
2010 marketing year, which begins on June 1, 2009. This rule will not
preempt any State or local laws, regulations, or policies, unless they
present an irreconcilable conflict with this rule.
The Act provides that administrative proceedings must be exhausted
before parties may file suit in court. Under section 608c(15)(A) of the
Act, any handler subject to an order may file with USDA a petition
stating that the order, any provision of the order, or any obligation
imposed in connection with the order is not in accordance with law and
request a modification of the order or to be exempted therefrom. A
handler is afforded the opportunity for a hearing on the petition.
After the hearing, USDA would rule on the petition. The Act provides
that the district court of the United States in any district in which
the handler is an inhabitant, or has his or her principal place of
business, has jurisdiction to review USDA's ruling on the petition,
provided an action is filed not later than 20 days after the date of
the entry of the ruling.
Pursuant to authority in Sec. Sec. 985.50, 985.51, and 985.52 of
the order, the full eight-member Committee met on October 15, 2008, and
recommended salable quantities and allotment percentages for both
classes of oil for the 2009-2010 marketing year. The Committee, in a
vote with six members in favor and two members opposed, recommended the
establishment of a salable quantity and allotment percentage for Scotch
spearmint oil of 842,171 pounds and 42 percent, respectively. For
Native spearmint oil, the Committee unanimously recommended the
establishment of a salable quantity and allotment percentage of
1,196,109 pounds and 53 percent, respectively.
This final rule limits the amount of spearmint oil that handlers
may purchase from, or handle for, producers during the 2009-2010
marketing year, which begins on June 1, 2009. Salable quantities and
allotment percentages have been placed into effect each season since
the order's inception in 1980.
The U.S. production of Scotch spearmint oil is concentrated in the
Far West, which includes Washington, Idaho, and Oregon and a portion of
Nevada and Utah. Scotch spearmint oil is also produced in the Midwest
states of Indiana, Michigan, and Wisconsin, as well as in the States of
Montana, South Dakota, North Dakota, and Minnesota. However, production
in the Midwest states has gone from 200,000 pounds in 2003, down to an
estimated 25,000 pounds in 2008. This has increased the percentage of
annual U.S. sales of Scotch spearmint oil in the production area
covered by the marketing order to approximately 85 percent.
When the order became effective in 1980, the Far West had 72
percent of the world's sales of Scotch spearmint oil. While the Far
West is still the leading producer of Scotch spearmint oil, its share
of world sales is now estimated to be about 45 percent. This loss in
world sales for the Far West region is directly attributed to the
increase in global production. Other factors that have played a
significant role include the overall quality of the imported oil and
technological advances that allow for
[[Page 16322]]
more blending of lower quality oils. Such factors have provided the
Committee with challenges in accurately predicting trade demand for
Scotch oil. This, in turn, has made it difficult to balance available
supplies with demand and to achieve the Committee's overall goal of
stabilizing producer and market prices.
The marketing order has continued to contribute to price and
general market stabilization for Far West producers. The Committee, as
well as spearmint oil producers and handlers attending the October 15,
2008, meeting, indicated that the 2008-2009 producer price for Scotch
oil ranges from a low of $12.00 per pound to a high of $14.00 per
pound. Although there is currently some forward contracting being done
within this same price range, producers are generally wary of locking
in a price because of the significant increases in their cost of
production. The $12.00 to $14.00 producer price is generally less than
the cost of production for most producers as indicated in a study from
the Washington State University Cooperative Extension Service (WSU). In
2001, this study estimated production costs to be between $13.90 and
$14.60 per pound. However, recent cost comparisons by the Committee
indicate that the major costs of nitrogen, phosphate, sulfur, potash,
herbicide, fuel, and rootstock have increased almost 120% since 2001.
Low producer returns have contributed to an overall reduction in
acreage planted to Scotch spearmint in recent years. When the order
became effective in 1980, the Far West region had 9,702 acres of Scotch
spearmint. The Committee reports that 2008-2009 Scotch spearmint
acreage is 7,409 acres, which results in 884,783 pounds of Scotch
spearmint oil production for the 2008-2009 marketing season.
The Committee recommended the 2009-2010 Scotch spearmint oil
salable quantity of 842,171 pounds and allotment percentage of 42
percent utilizing sales estimates for 2009-2010 Scotch spearmint oil as
provided by several of the industry's handlers, as well as historical
and current Scotch spearmint oil sales levels. The Committee is
estimating that about 850,000 pounds of Scotch spearmint oil, on
average, may be sold during the 2009-2010 marketing year. When
considered in conjunction with the estimated carry-in of 124,735 pounds
of oil on June 1, 2009, the recommended salable quantity of 842,171
pounds results in a total available supply of Scotch spearmint oil next
year of about 966,906 pounds.
The recommendation for the 2009-2010 Scotch spearmint oil volume
regulation is consistent with the Committee's stated intent of keeping
adequate supplies available at all times, while attempting to stabilize
prices at a level adequate to sustain the producers. Furthermore, the
recommendation takes into consideration the industry's desire to
compete with less expensive oil produced outside the regulated area.
Native spearmint oil producers are facing market conditions similar
to those affecting the Scotch spearmint oil market. Over 90 percent of
the U.S. production of Native spearmint is produced within the Far West
production area. Very little pure Native spearmint oil is produced
outside of the United States.
The supply and demand characteristics of the current Native
spearmint oil market, combined with the stabilizing impact of the
marketing order, have kept the price relatively steady. The Committee,
as well as spearmint oil producers and handlers attending the October
15, 2008, meeting, estimated that the 2008-2009 Native oil producer
price ranges between $11.50 per pound and $13.00 per pound. As with
Scotch oil, there is some forward contracting of Native spearmint oil
within this price range. The Committee is hopeful that this price range
will be sufficient to stimulate additional increases in acreage in
2009, although the magnitude of the increases will likely be tempered
by substantial increases in production costs and the availability of
attractively priced alternative crops. The WSU study referenced earlier
indicates that the cost of producing Native spearmint oil has ranged
from $10.26 to $10.92 per pound. However, as stated earlier, this study
was completed in 2001 and recent cost comparisons by the Committee
indicate that the major costs of nitrogen, phosphate, sulfur, potash,
herbicide, fuel, and rootstock have increased almost 120% since 2001.
As with Scotch, however, the relatively low level of producer
returns has also caused an overall reduction in Native spearmint
acreage. When the order became effective in 1980, the Far West region
had 12,153 acres of Native spearmint. The Committee estimates that
8,555 acres of Native spearmint was planted for the 2008-2009 season.
Based on the reduced Native spearmint acreage, the Committee is
reporting that production for the 2008-2009 marketing season is
1,165,707 pounds.
The Committee's recommendation for the 2009-2010 Native spearmint
oil salable quantity of 1,196,109 pounds and allotment percentage of 53
percent utilized sales estimates provided by several of the industry's
handlers, as well as historical and current Native spearmint oil sales
levels. The Committee is estimating that about 1,250,000 pounds of
Native spearmint oil may be sold during the 2009-2010 marketing year
(trade demand). When considered in conjunction with the estimated
carry-in of 51,363 pounds of oil on June 1, 2009, the recommended
salable quantity of 1,196,109 pounds results in a total 2009-2010
available supply of Native spearmint oil of about 1,247,472 pounds.
The Committee's method of calculating the Native spearmint oil
salable quantity and allotment percentage continues to primarily
utilize information on price and available supply as they are affected
by the estimated trade demand. The Committee's stated intent is to make
adequate supplies available to meet market needs and improve producer
prices.
The Committee believes that the order has contributed extensively
to the stabilization of producer prices, which prior to 1980
experienced wide fluctuations from year to year. According to the
National Agricultural Statistics Service, for example, the average
price paid for both classes of spearmint oil ranged from $4.00 per
pound to $11.10 per pound during the period between 1968 and 1980.
Prices since the order's inception--the period from 1980 to 2007--have
generally stabilized at an average price of $12.69 per pound for Scotch
spearmint oil and $9.97 per pound for Native spearmint oil.
The Committee based its recommendation for the proposed salable
quantity and allotment percentage for each class of spearmint oil for
the 2009-2010 marketing year on the information discussed above, as
well as the data outlined below.
(1) Class 1 (Scotch) Spearmint Oil
(A) Estimated carry-in on June 1, 2009--124,735 pounds. This figure
is the difference between the revised 2008-2009 marketing year total
available supply of 974,735 pounds and the estimated 2008-2009
marketing year trade demand of 850,000 pounds.
(B) Estimated trade demand for the 2009-2010 marketing year--
850,000 pounds. This figure was based on input from producers at six
Scotch spearmint oil production area meetings held in late September
and early October 2008, as well as estimates provided by handlers and
other meeting participants at the October 15, 2008, meeting. The
average estimated trade demand provided at the
[[Page 16323]]
six production area meetings is 852,447 pounds, whereas the estimated
handler trade demand ranged from 800,000 to 1,000,000 pounds. The
average of sales over the last three years is 831,342 pounds.
(C) Salable quantity required in the 2009-2010 marketing year--
725,265 pounds. This figure is the difference between the estimated
2009-2010 marketing year trade demand (850,000 pounds) and the
estimated carry-in on June 1, 2009 (124,735 pounds).
(D) Total estimated allotment base for the 2009-2010 marketing
year--2,005,168 pounds. This figure represents a one percent increase
over the revised 2008-2009 total allotment base. This figure is
generally revised each year on June 1 due to producer base being lost
due to the bona fide effort production provisions of Sec. 985.53(e).
The revision is usually minimal.
(E) Computed allotment percentage--36.2 percent. This percentage is
computed by dividing the required salable quantity by the total
estimated allotment base.
(F) Recommended allotment percentage--42 percent. This
recommendation was based on the Committee's determination that the
computed 36.2 percent would not adequately supply the potential 2009-
2010 market.
(G) The Committee's recommended salable quantity--842,171 pounds.
This figure is the product of the recommended allotment percentage and
the total estimated allotment base.
(H) Estimated available supply for the 2009-2010 marketing year--
966,906 pounds. This figure is the sum of the 2009-2010 recommended
salable quantity (842,171 pounds) and the estimated carry-in on June 1,
2009 (124,735 pounds).
(2) Class 3 (Native) Spearmint Oil
(A) Estimated carry-in on June 1, 2009--51,363 pounds. This figure
is the difference between the revised 2008-2009 marketing year total
available supply of 1,301,363 pounds and the estimated 2008-2009
marketing year trade demand of 1,250,000 pounds.
(B) Estimated trade demand for the 2009-2010 marketing year--
1,250,000 pounds. This figure was based on input from producers at the
six Native spearmint oil production area meetings held in late
September and early October 2008, as well as estimates provided by
handlers and other meeting participants at the October 15, 2008
meeting. The average estimated trade demand provided at the six
production area meetings was 1,237,945 pounds, whereas the handler
estimate ranged from 1,250,000 pounds to 1,300,000 pounds.
(C) Salable quantity required in the 2009-2010 marketing year--
1,198,637 pounds. This figure is the difference between the estimated
2009-2010 marketing year trade demand (1,250,000 pounds) and the
estimated carry-in on June 1, 2009 (51,363 pounds).
(D) Total estimated allotment base for the 2009-2010 marketing
year--2,256,810 pounds. This figure represents a one percent increase
over the revised 2008-2009 total allotment base. This figure is
generally revised each year on June 1 due to producer base being lost
due to the bona fide effort production provisions of Sec. 985.53(e).
The revision is usually minimal.
(E) Computed allotment percentage--53.1 percent. This percentage is
computed by dividing the required salable quantity (1,198,637) by the
total estimated allotment base (2,256,810).
(F) Recommended allotment percentage--53 percent. This was the
Committee's recommendation based on the computed allotment percentage
(53.1 percent), the average of the computed allotment percentage
figures from the six production area meetings (52.5 percent), and input
from producers and handlers at the October 15, 2008, meeting.
(G) The Committee's recommended salable quantity--1,196,109 pounds.
This figure is the product of the recommended allotment percentage (53
percent) and the total estimated allotment base (2,256,810).
(H) Estimated available supply for the 2009-2010 marketing year--
1,247,474 pounds. This figure is the sum of the 2009-2010 recommended
salable quantity (1,196,109 pounds) and the estimated carry-in on June
1, 2009 (51,363 pounds).
The salable quantity is the total quantity of each class of
spearmint oil, which handlers may purchase from, or handle on behalf of
producers during a marketing year. Each producer is allotted a share of
the salable quantity by applying the allotment percentage to the
producer's allotment base for the applicable class of spearmint oil.
The Committee's recommended Scotch and Native spearmint oil salable
quantities and allotment percentages of 842,171 pounds and 42 percent,
and 1,196,109 pounds and 53 percent, respectively, are based on the
Committee's goal of maintaining market stability by avoiding extreme
fluctuations in supplies and prices, and the anticipated supply and
trade demand during the 2009-2010 marketing year. The salable
quantities are not expected to cause a shortage of spearmint oil
supplies. Any unanticipated or additional market demand for spearmint
oil, which may develop during the marketing year, can be satisfied by
an increase in the salable quantities. Both Scotch and Native spearmint
oil producers who produce more than their annual allotments during the
2009-2010 marketing year may transfer such excess spearmint oil to a
producer with spearmint oil production less than their annual allotment
or put it into the reserve pool until November 1, 2009.
This regulation is similar to regulations issued in prior seasons.
Costs to producers and handlers resulting from this rule are expected
to be offset by the benefits derived from a stable market and improved
returns. In conjunction with the issuance of this final rule, USDA has
reviewed the Committee's marketing policy statement for the 2009-2010
marketing year. The Committee's marketing policy statement, a
requirement whenever the Committee recommends volume regulations, fully
meets the intent of Sec. 985.50 of the order. During its discussion of
potential 2009-2010 salable quantities and allotment percentages, the
Committee considered: (1) The estimated quantity of salable oil of each
class held by producers and handlers; (2) the estimated demand for each
class of oil; (3) the prospective production of each class of oil; (4)
the total of allotment bases of each class of oil for the current
marketing year and the estimated total of allotment bases of each class
for the ensuing marketing year; (5) the quantity of reserve oil, by
class, in storage; (6) producer prices of oil, including prices for
each class of oil; and (7) general market conditions for each class of
oil, including whether the estimated season average price to producers
is likely to exceed parity. Conformity with the USDA's ``Guidelines for
Fruit, Vegetable, and Specialty Crop Marketing Orders'' has also been
reviewed and confirmed.
The establishment of these salable quantities and allotment
percentages will allow for anticipated market needs. In determining
anticipated market needs, consideration by the Committee was given to
historical sales, as well as changes and trends in production and
demand. This rule also provides producers with information on the
amount of spearmint oil that should be produced for the 2009-2010
season in order to meet anticipated market demand.
[[Page 16324]]
Final Regulatory Flexibility Analysis
Pursuant to requirements set forth in the Regulatory Flexibility
Act (RFA) (5 U.S.C. 601-612), the Agricultural Marketing Service (AMS)
has considered the economic impact of this rule on small entities.
Accordingly, AMS has prepared this final regulatory flexibility
analysis.
The purpose of the RFA is to fit regulatory actions to the scale of
business subject to such actions in order that small businesses will
not be unduly or disproportionately burdened. Marketing orders issued
pursuant to the Act, and the rules issued thereunder, are unique in
that they are brought about through group action of essentially small
entities acting on their own behalf.
There are eight spearmint oil handlers subject to regulation under
the order, and approximately 55 producers of Scotch spearmint oil and
approximately 94 producers of Native spearmint oil in the regulated
production area. Small agricultural service firms are defined by the
Small Business Administration (SBA) (13 CFR 121.201) as those having
annual receipts of less than $7,000,000, and small agricultural
producers are defined as those having annual receipts of less than
$750,000.
Based on the SBA's definition of small entities, the Committee
estimates that 2 of the 8 handlers regulated by the order could be
considered small entities. Most of the handlers are large corporations
involved in the international trading of essential oils and the
products of essential oils. In addition, the Committee estimates that
18 of the 55 Scotch spearmint oil producers and 24 of the 94 Native
spearmint oil producers could be classified as small entities under the
SBA definition. Thus, a majority of handlers and producers of Far West
spearmint oil may not be classified as small entities.
The Far West spearmint oil industry is characterized by producers
whose farming operations generally involve more than one commodity, and
whose income from farming operations is not exclusively dependent on
the production of spearmint oil. A typical spearmint oil-producing
operation has enough acreage for rotation such that the total acreage
required to produce the crop is about one-third spearmint and two-
thirds rotational crops. Thus, the typical spearmint oil producer has
to have considerably more acreage than is planted to spearmint during
any given season. Crop rotation is an essential cultural practice in
the production of spearmint oil for weed, insect, and disease control.
To remain economically viable with the added costs associated with
spearmint oil production, most spearmint oil-producing farms fall into
the SBA category of large businesses.
Small spearmint oil producers generally are not as extensively
diversified as larger ones and as such are more at risk from market
fluctuations. Such small producers generally need to market their
entire annual allotment and do not have the luxury of having other
crops to cushion seasons with poor spearmint oil returns. Conversely,
large diversified producers have the potential to endure one or more
seasons of poor spearmint oil markets because income from alternate
crops could support the operation for a period of time. Being
reasonably assured of a stable price and market provides small
producing entities with the ability to maintain proper cash flow and to
meet annual expenses. Thus, the market and price stability provided by
the order potentially benefit the small producer more than such
provisions benefit large producers. Even though a majority of handlers
and producers of spearmint oil may not be classified as small entities,
the volume control feature of this order has small entity orientation.
This final rule establishes the quantity of spearmint oil produced
in the Far West, by class that handlers may purchase from, or handle
for, producers during the 2009-2010 marketing year. The Committee
recommended this rule to help maintain stability in the spearmint oil
market by avoiding extreme fluctuations in supplies and prices.
Establishing quantities to be purchased or handled during the marketing
year through volume regulations allows producers to plan their
spearmint planting and harvesting to meet expected market needs. The
provisions of Sec. Sec. 985.50, 985.51, and 985.52 of the order
authorize this rule.
Instability in the spearmint oil sub-sector of the mint industry is
much more likely to originate on the supply side than the demand side.
Fluctuations in yield and acreage planted from season-to-season tend to
be larger than fluctuations in the amount purchased by buyers. Demand
for spearmint oil tends to be relatively stable from year-to-year. The
demand for spearmint oil is expected to grow slowly for the foreseeable
future because the demand for consumer products that use spearmint oil
will likely expand slowly, in line with population growth.
Demand for spearmint oil at the farm level is derived from retail
demand for spearmint-flavored products such as chewing gum, toothpaste,
and mouthwash. The manufacturers of these products are by far the
largest users of mint oil. However, spearmint flavoring is generally a
very minor component of the products in which it is used, so changes in
the raw product price have no impact on retail prices for those goods.
Spearmint oil production tends to be cyclical. Years of large
production, with demand remaining reasonably stable, have led to
periods in which large producer stocks of unsold spearmint oil have
depressed producer prices for a number of years. Shortages and high
prices may follow in subsequent years, as producers respond to price
signals by cutting back production.
The significant variability is illustrated by the fact that the
coefficient of variation (a standard measure of variability; ``CV'') of
Far West spearmint oil production from 1980 through 2007 was about
0.23. The CV for spearmint oil grower prices was about 0.14, well below
the CV for production. This provides an indication of the price
stabilizing impact of the marketing order.
Production in the shortest marketing year was about 50 percent of
the 28-year average (1.85 million pounds from 1980 through 2007) and
the largest crop was approximately 166 percent of the 28-year average.
A key consequence is that in years of oversupply and low prices the
season average producer price of spearmint oil is below the average
cost of production (as measured by the Washington State University
Cooperative Extension Service.)
The wide fluctuations in supply and prices that result from this
cycle, which was even more pronounced before the creation of the
marketing order, can create liquidity problems for some producers. The
marketing order was designed to reduce the price impacts of the
cyclical swings in production. However, producers have been less able
to weather these cycles in recent years because of the increase in
production costs. While prices have been relatively steady, the cost of
production has dramatically increased which has caused a hesitation by
producers to plant. Producers are also enticed by the prices of
alternative crops and their lower cost of production.
In an effort to stabilize prices, the spearmint oil industry uses
the volume control mechanisms authorized under the order. This
authority allows the Committee to recommend a salable quantity and
allotment percentage for each class of oil for the upcoming marketing
year. The salable quantity for each class of oil is the total volume of
oil that producers may sell during the marketing year. The allotment
[[Page 16325]]
percentage for each class of spearmint oil is derived by dividing the
salable quantity by the total allotment base.
Each producer is then issued an annual allotment certificate, in
pounds, for the applicable class of oil, which is calculated by
multiplying the producer's allotment base by the applicable allotment
percentage. This is the amount of oil for the applicable class that the
producer can sell.
By November 1 of each year, the Committee identifies any oil that
individual producers have produced above the volume specified on their
annual allotment certificates. This excess oil is placed in a reserve
pool administered by the Committee.
There is a reserve pool for each class of oil that may not be sold
during the current marketing year unless USDA approves a Committee
recommendation to make a portion of the pool available. However,
limited quantities of reserve oil are typically sold to fill
deficiencies. A deficiency occurs when on-farm production is less than
a producer's allotment. In that case, a producer's own reserve oil can
be sold to fill that deficiency. Excess production (higher than the
producer's allotment) can be sold to fill other producers'
deficiencies. All of this needs to take place by November 1.
In any given year, the total available supply of spearmint oil is
composed of current production plus carry-over stocks from the previous
crop. The Committee seeks to maintain market stability by balancing
supply and demand, and to close the marketing year with an appropriate
level of carryout. If the industry has production in excess of the
salable quantity, then the reserve pool absorbs the surplus quantity of
spearmint oil, which goes unsold during that year, unless the oil is
needed for unanticipated sales.
Under its provisions, the order may attempt to stabilize prices by
(1) limiting supply and establishing reserves in high production years,
thus minimizing the price-depressing effect that excess producer stocks
have on unsold spearmint oil, and (2) ensuring that stocks are
available in short supply years when prices would otherwise increase
dramatically. The reserve pool stocks grown in large production years
are drawn down in short crop years.
An econometric model was used to assess the impact that volume
control has on the prices producers receive for their commodity.
Without volume control, spearmint oil markets would likely be over-
supplied, resulting in low producer prices and a large volume of oil
stored and carried over to the next crop year. The model estimates how
much lower producer prices would likely be in the absence of volume
controls.
The Committee estimated the trade demand for the 2009-2010
marketing year for both classes of oil at 2,100,000 pounds, and that
the expected combined carry-in will be 176,098 pounds. This results in
a combined required salable quantity of 1,923,902 pounds. Therefore,
with volume control, sales by producers for the 2009-2010 marketing
year would be limited to 2,038,280 pounds (the recommended salable
quantity for both classes of spearmint oil).
The recommended salable percentages, upon which 2009-2010 producer
allotments are based, are 42 percent for Scotch and 53 percent for
Native. Without volume controls, producers would not be limited to
these allotment levels, and could produce and sell additional
spearmint. The econometric model estimated a $1.39 decline in the
season average producer price per pound (from both classes of spearmint
oil) resulting from the higher quantities that would be produced and
marketed without volume control. The surplus situation for the
spearmint oil market that would exist without volume controls in 2009-
2010 also would likely dampen prospects for improved producer prices in
future years because of the buildup in stocks.
The use of volume controls allows the industry to fully supply
spearmint oil markets while avoiding the negative consequences of over-
supplying these markets. The use of volume controls is believed to have
little or no effect on consumer prices of products containing spearmint
oil and will not result in fewer retail sales of such products.
The Committee discussed alternatives to the recommendations
contained in this rule for both classes of spearmint oil. The Committee
discussed and rejected the idea of recommending that there not be any
volume regulation for both classes of spearmint oil because of the
severe price-depressing effects that would occur without volume
control.
The Committee considered various alternative levels of volume
control for Scotch spearmint oil, including increasing the percentage
to a less restrictive level, or decreasing the percentage. After
considerable discussion the Committee unanimously determined that
842,171 pounds and 42 percent would be the most effective salable
quantity and allotment percentage, respectively, for the 2009-2010
marketing year.
The Committee also considered various alternative levels of volume
control for Native spearmint oil. After considerable discussion the
Committee unanimously determined that 1,196,109 pounds and 53 percent
would be the most effective salable quantity and allotment percentage,
respectively, for the 2009-2010 marketing year.
As noted earlier, the Committee's recommendation to establish
salable quantities and allotment percentages for both classes of
spearmint oil was made after careful consideration of all available
information, including: (1) The estimated quantity of salable oil of
each class held by producers and handlers; (2) the estimated demand for
each class of oil; (3) the prospective production of each class of oil;
(4) the total of allotment bases of each class of oil for the current
marketing year and the estimated total of allotment bases of each class
for the ensuing marketing year; (5) the quantity of reserve oil, by
class, in storage; (6) producer prices of oil, including prices for
each class of oil; and (7) general market conditions for each class of
oil, including whether the estimated season average price to producers
is likely to exceed parity. Based on its review, the Committee believes
that the salable quantity and allotment percentage levels recommended
would achieve the objectives sought.
Without any regulations in effect, the Committee believes the
industry would return to the pronounced cyclical price patterns that
occurred prior to the order, and that prices in 2009-2010 would decline
substantially below current levels.
As stated earlier, the Committee believes that the order has
contributed extensively to the stabilization of producer prices, which
prior to 1980 experienced wide fluctuations from year-to-year. National
Agricultural Statistics Service records show that the average price
paid for both classes of spearmint oil ranged from $4.00 per pound to
$11.10 per pound during the period between 1968 and 1980. Prices have
been consistently more stable since the marketing order's inception in
1980, with an average price for the period from 1980 to 2007 of $12.77
per pound for Scotch spearmint oil and $9.98 per pound for Native
spearmint oil.
According to the Committee, the recommended salable quantities and
allotment percentages are expected to achieve the goals of market and
price stability.
As previously stated, annual salable quantities and allotment
percentages have been issued for both classes of spearmint oil since
the order's inception. Reporting and recordkeeping requirements have
remained the same for each year of regulation. These
[[Page 16326]]
requirements have been approved by the Office of Management and Budget
under OMB Control No. 0581-0178, Vegetable and Specialty Crops.
Accordingly, this action would not impose any additional reporting or
recordkeeping requirements on either small or large spearmint oil
producers and handlers. As with all Federal marketing order programs,
reports and forms are periodically reviewed to reduce information
requirements and duplication by industry and public sector agencies.
AMS is committed to complying with the E-Government Act, to promote
the use of the Internet and other information technologies to provide
increased opportunities for citizen access to Government information
and services, and for other purposes.
USDA has not identified any relevant Federal rules that duplicate,
overlap, or conflict with this rule.
In addition, the Committee's meeting was widely publicized
throughout the spearmint oil industry and all interested persons were
invited to attend the meeting and participate in Committee
deliberations on all issues. Like all Committee meetings, the October
15, 2008, meeting was a public meeting and all entities, both large and
small, were able to express views on this issue.
A proposed rule concerning this action was published in the Federal
Register on January 14, 2009 (74 FR 1971). Copies of the rule were
provided to Committee staff, which in turn made it available to
spearmint oil producers, handlers, and other interested persons.
Finally, the rule was made available through the Internet by USDA and
the Office of the Federal Register. A 60-day comment period, ending
March 16, 2009, was provided to allow interested persons to respond to
the proposal. No comments were received.
A small business guide on complying with fruit, vegetable, and
specialty crop marketing agreements and orders may be viewed at: http:/
/www.ams.usda.gov/AMSv1.0/
ams.fetchTemplateData.do?template=TemplateN&page=MarketingOrdersSmallBus
inessGuide. Any questions about the compliance guide should be sent to
Jay Guerber at the previously mentioned address in the FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT section.
After consideration of all relevant matter presented, including the
information and recommendation submitted by the Committee and other
available information, it is hereby found that this rule, as
hereinafter set forth, will tend to effectuate the declared policy of
the Act.
List of Subjects in 7 CFR Part 985
Marketing agreements, Oils and fats, Reporting and recordkeeping
requirements, Spearmint oil.
0
For the reasons set forth in the preamble, 7 CFR Part 985 is amended as
follows:
PART 985--MARKETING ORDER REGULATING THE HANDLING OF SPEARMINT OIL
PRODUCED IN THE FAR WEST
0
1. The authority citation for 7 CFR Part 985 continues to read as
follows:
Authority: 7 U.S.C. 601-674.
0
2. A new Sec. 985.228 is added to read as follows:
Note: This section will not appear in the Code of Federal
Regulations.
Sec. 985.228 Salable quantities and allotment percentages--2009-2010
marketing year.
The salable quantity and allotment percentage for each class of
spearmint oil during the marketing year beginning on June 1, 2009,
shall be as follows:
(a) Class 1 (Scotch) oil--a salable quantity of 842,171 pounds and
an allotment percentage of 42 percent.
(b) Class 3 (Native) oil--a salable quantity of 1,196,109 pounds
and an allotment percentage of 53 percent.
Dated: April 6, 2009.
Robert C. Keeney,
Acting Associate Administrator.
[FR Doc. E9-8174 Filed 4-9-09; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 3410-02-P