[Code of Federal Regulations]
[Title 48, Volume 1]
[Revised as of October 1, 2003]
From the U.S. Government Printing Office via GPO Access
[CITE: 48CFR15.404-1]

[Page 262-265]
 
            TITLE 48--FEDERAL ACQUISITION REGULATIONS SYSTEM
 
                CHAPTER 1--FEDERAL ACQUISITION REGULATION
 
PART 15_CONTRACTING BY NEGOTIATION--Table of Contents
 
                      Subpart 15.4_Contract Pricing
 
Sec.  15.404-1  Proposal analysis techniques.

    (a) General. The objective of proposal analysis is to ensure that 
the final agreed-to price is fair and reasonable.
    (1) The contracting officer is responsible for evaluating the 
reasonableness of the offered prices. The analytical techniques and 
procedures described in this section may be used, singly or in 
combination with others, to ensure that the final price is fair and 
reasonable. The complexity and circumstances of each acquisition should 
determine the level of detail of the analysis required.
    (2) Price analysis shall be used when cost or pricing data are not 
required (see paragraph (b) of this subsection and 15.404-3).
    (3) Cost analysis shall be used to evaluate the reasonableness of 
individual cost elements when cost or pricing data are required. Price 
analysis should be used to verify that the overall price offered is fair 
and reasonable.
    (4) Cost analysis may also be used to evaluate information other 
than cost or pricing data to determine cost reasonableness or cost 
realism.
    (5) The contracting officer may request the advice and assistance of 
other experts to ensure that an appropriate analysis is performed.
    (6) Recommendations or conclusions regarding the Government's review 
or analysis of an offeror's or contractor's proposal shall not be 
disclosed to the offeror or contractor without the concurrence of the 
contracting officer. Any discrepancy or mistake of fact (such as 
duplications, omissions, and errors in computation) contained in the 
cost or pricing data or information other than cost or pricing data 
submitted in support of a proposal shall be brought to the contracting 
officer's attention for appropriate action.
    (7) The Air Force Institute of Technology (AFIT) and the Federal 
Acquisition Institute (FAI) jointly prepared a five-volume set of 
Contract Pricing Reference Guides to guide pricing and negotiation 
personnel. The five guides are: I Price Analysis, II Quantitative 
Techniques for Contract Pricing, III Cost Analysis, IV Advanced Issues 
in Contract Pricing, and V Federal Contract Negotiation Techniques. 
These references provide detailed discussion and examples applying 
pricing policies to pricing problems. They are to be used for 
instruction and professional guidance. However, they are not directive 
and should be considered informational only. They are available via the 
internet at http://www.acq.osd.mil/dp/cpf.
    (b) Price analysis. (1) Price analysis is the process of examining 
and evaluating a proposed price without evaluating its separate cost 
elements and proposed profit.
    (2) The Government may use various price analysis techniques and 
procedures to ensure a fair and reasonable price. Examples of such 
techniques include, but are not limited to, the following:
    (i) Comparison of proposed prices received in response to the 
solicitation. Normally, adequate price competition establishes price 
reasonableness (see 15.403-1(c)(1)).
    (ii) Comparison of previously proposed prices and previous 
Government and commercial contract prices with current proposed prices 
for the same or similar items, if both the validity of the comparison 
and the reasonableness of the previous price(s) can be established.
    (iii) Use of parametric estimating methods/application of rough 
yardsticks (such as dollars per pound or per horsepower, or other units) 
to highlight significant inconsistencies that warrant additional pricing 
inquiry.
    (iv) Comparison with competitive published price lists, published 
market prices of commodities, similar indexes, and discount or rebate 
arrangements.
    (v) Comparison of proposed prices with independent Government cost 
estimates.
    (vi) Comparison of proposed prices with prices obtained through 
market research for the same or similar items.

[[Page 263]]

    (vii) Analysis of pricing information provided by the offeror.
    (3) The first two techniques at 15.404-1(b)(2) are the preferred 
techniques. However, if the contracting officer determines that 
information on competitive proposed prices or previous contract prices 
is not available or is insufficient to determine that the price is fair 
and reasonable, the contracting officer may use any of the remaining 
techniques as appropriate to the circumstances applicable to the 
acquisition.
    (4) Value analysis can give insight into the relative worth of a 
product and the Government may use it in conjunction with the price 
analysis techniques listed in paragraph (b)(2) of this section.
    (c) Cost analysis. (1) Cost analysis is the review and evaluation of 
the separate cost elements and profit in an offeror's or contractor's 
proposal (including cost or pricing data or information other than cost 
or pricing data), and the application of judgment to determine how well 
the proposed costs represent what the cost of the contract should be, 
assuming reasonable economy and efficiency.
    (2) The Government may use various cost analysis techniques and 
procedures to ensure a fair and reasonable price, given the 
circumstances of the acquisition. Such techniques and procedures include 
the following:
    (i) Verification of cost or pricing data and evaluation of cost 
elements, including--
    (A) The necessity for, and reasonableness of, proposed costs, 
including allowances for contingencies;
    (B) Projection of the offeror's cost trends, on the basis of current 
and historical cost or pricing data;
    (C) Reasonableness of estimates generated by appropriately 
calibrated and validated parametric models or cost-estimating 
relationships; and
    (D) The application of audited or negotiated indirect cost rates, 
labor rates, and cost of money or other factors.
    (ii) Evaluating the effect of the offeror's current practices on 
future costs. In conducting this evaluation, the contracting officer 
shall ensure that the effects of inefficient or uneconomical past 
practices are not projected into the future. In pricing production of 
recently developed complex equipment, the contracting officer should 
perform a trend analysis of basic labor and materials, even in periods 
of relative price stability.
    (iii) Comparison of costs proposed by the offeror for individual 
cost elements with--
    (A) Actual costs previously incurred by the same offeror;
    (B) Previous cost estimates from the offeror or from other offerors 
for the same or similar items;
    (C) Other cost estimates received in response to the Government's 
request;
    (D) Independent Government cost estimates by technical personnel; 
and
    (E) Forecasts of planned expenditures.
    (iv) Verification that the offeror's cost submissions are in 
accordance with the contract cost principles and procedures in part 31 
and, when applicable, the requirements and procedures in 48 CFR Chapter 
99 (Appendix to the FAR looseleaf edition), Cost Accounting Standards.
    (v) Review to determine whether any cost or pricing data necessary 
to make the contractor's proposal accurate, complete, and current have 
not been either submitted or identified in writing by the contractor. If 
there are such data, the contracting officer shall attempt to obtain 
them and negotiate, using them or making satisfactory allowance for the 
incomplete data.
    (vi) Analysis of the results of any make-or-buy program reviews, in 
evaluating subcontract costs (see 15.407-2).
    (d) Cost realism analysis. (1) Cost realism analysis is the process 
of independently reviewing and evaluating specific elements of each 
offeror's proposed cost estimate to determine whether the estimated 
proposed cost elements are realistic for the work to be performed; 
reflect a clear understanding of the requirements; and are consistent 
with the unique methods of performance and materials described in the 
offeror's technical proposal.
    (2) Cost realism analyses shall be performed on cost-reimbursement 
contracts to determine the probable cost of performance for each 
offeror.

[[Page 264]]

    (i) The probable cost may differ from the proposed cost and should 
reflect the Government's best estimate of the cost of any contract that 
is most likely to result from the offeror's proposal. The probable cost 
shall be used for purposes of evaluation to determine the best value.
    (ii) The probable cost is determined by adjusting each offeror's 
proposed cost, and fee when appropriate, to reflect any additions or 
reductions in cost elements to realistic levels based on the results of 
the cost realism analysis.
    (3) Cost realism analyses may also be used on competitive fixed-
price incentive contracts or, in exceptional cases, on other competitive 
fixed-price-type contracts when new requirements may not be fully 
understood by competing offerors, there are quality concerns, or past 
experience indicates that contractors proposed costs have resulted in 
quality or service shortfalls. Results of the analysis may be used in 
performance risk assessments and responsibility determinations. However, 
proposals shall be evaluated using the criteria in the solicitation, and 
the offered prices shall not be adjusted as a result of the analysis.
    (e) Technical analysis. (1) The contracting officer may request that 
personnel having specialized knowledge, skills, experience, or 
capability in engineering, science, or management perform a technical 
analysis of the proposed types and quantities of materials, labor, 
processes, special tooling, facilities, the reasonableness of scrap and 
spoilage, and other associated factors set forth in the proposal(s) in 
order to determine the need for and reasonableness of the proposed 
resources, assuming reasonable economy and efficiency.
    (2) At a minimum, the technical analysis should examine the types 
and quantities of material proposed and the need for the types and 
quantities of labor hours and the labor mix. Any other data that may be 
pertinent to an assessment of the offeror's ability to accomplish the 
technical requirements or to the cost or price analysis of the service 
or product being proposed should also be included in the analysis.
    (f) Unit prices. (1) Except when pricing an item on the basis of 
adequate price competition or catalog or market price, unit prices shall 
reflect the intrinsic value of an item or service and shall be in 
proportion to an item's base cost (e.g., manufacturing or acquisition 
costs). Any method of distributing costs to line items that distorts the 
unit prices shall not be used. For example, distributing costs equally 
among line items is not acceptable except when there is little or no 
variation in base cost.
    (2) Except for the acquisition of commercial items, contracting 
officers shall require that offerors identify in their proposals those 
items of supply that they will not manufacture or to which they will not 
contribute significant value, unless adequate price competition is 
expected (10 U.S.C. 2304 and 41 U.S.C. 254(d)(5)(A)(i)). Such 
information shall be used to determine whether the intrinsic value of an 
item has been distorted through application of overhead and whether such 
items should be considered for breakout. The contracting officer may 
require such information in all other negotiated contracts when 
appropriate.
    (g) Unbalanced pricing. (1) Unbalanced pricing may increase 
performance risk and could result in payment of unreasonably high 
prices. Unbalanced pricing exists when, despite an acceptable total 
evaluated price, the price of one or more contract line items is 
significantly over or understated as indicated by the application of 
cost or price analysis techniques. The greatest risks associated with 
unbalanced pricing occur when--
    (i) Startup work, mobilization, first articles, or first article 
testing are separate line items;
    (ii) Base quantities and option quantities are separate line items; 
or
    (iii) The evaluated price is the aggregate of estimated quantities 
to be ordered under separate line items of an indefinite-delivery 
contract.
    (2) All offers with separately priced line items or subline items 
shall be analyzed to determine if the prices are unbalanced. If cost or 
price analysis techniques indicate that an offer is unbalanced, the 
contracting officer shall--

[[Page 265]]

    (i) Consider the risks to the Government associated with the 
unbalanced pricing in determining the competitive range and in making 
the source selection decision; and
    (ii) Consider whether award of the contract will result in paying 
unreasonably high prices for contract performance.
    (3) An offer may be rejected if the contracting officer determines 
that the lack of balance poses an unacceptable risk to the Government.

[62 FR 51230, Sept. 30, 1997, as amended at 63 FR 58602, Oct. 30, 1998; 
64 FR 51837, Sept. 24, 1999; 65 FR 16286, Mar. 27, 2000]